Possmann Betting Blog
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about this blog
Sunday, February 12th, 2012 13:22


Hi,

thanks for visiting my blog. My name is Chris and I am a full-time bettor from a little town in Germany. I am 24 years old and I practice professional betting since 2006.

What is this blog about?
This blog is about publishing my private bets to everone. I am a profitable bettor since many years and in September 2010 in startet this blog. At first I published bets in many different sports, mainly concentrating on tennis and soccer in general.

But in february 2011 I started to specialize on what I am running best in: Bundesliga One and Two in Germany.

Therefore, I am publishing profitable picks here of German soccer and for those who do not want to have stress having to be here at kickoff, for those who do not want to play no-value odds because of odds drops, and for those who want to have picks comfortably in their inbox, I offer a cheap and high-quality pick delivery service by e-Mail and by SMS (optional).

Why are you specializing?
Personally, I believe that specialization is the key to success in betting, especially in professional betting. The Asian market is really hard to beat and you need enormous knowledge about the league you are betting. For me, that is Bundesliga One of Germany.

Why are you better than lots of other tipsters around?
Many tipsters bet too much, or their betting portfolio is too broad. Others in turn are staking too risky or they are not made for finding values. The special thing about my betting strategy is that I follow Bundesliga One 24/7 a week. Normally, I visit at least one match live in the stadium every week (travelling around) and the other matches I watch 90 minutes in the TV. This way, I get best impressions, better than most of the other tipsters. Impressions and knowledge is the most important thing in betting. Furthermore, I have a good network of people having specific knowledge about certain clubs. If one player gets injured or if there is any rumour in the club, I get the info within minutes. Minutes, that differentiate winners from losers in betting.

Okay, but what's so special in here now?
The special thing in this blog is that I am passing my picks to all of you. Every pick I play, I post in this blog, so that you can follow it regularly (from friday to sunday).

What's about that »mailing list« thing you are offering?
Everyone of you has the chance to get a place on my mailing list. People on that list have the priority that they get the picks earlier and can play them at better odds. Normally, odds drop into the direction I predict them to drop. This means, that you get a lot of money less if you are just following my picks in the blog. In the blog, picks are published at match time only, so that you have to bet very fast before kickoff and you have to be online at kickoff, every time. On my mailing list you get the picks in your inbox some hours before when I am playing them. Directly and comfortably. Just write a mail to the-possmann@gmx.de for more information.

Why are you playing at Asian bookmakers?
Playing at Asian bookmakers is the most important thing in betting. You probably see other tipsters with higher ROI's than me playing at Bet365, Ladbrokes, StanJames, and so on. These guys are not to be taken seriously as at this bookmakers you cannot bet much money. At Asian bookmakers you can easily bet 10.000€ and more on Bundesliga One, which is important to professional bettors like me. The crux is, that the odds are much more correct at Asian bookmakers (Pinnaclesports.com, SBObet.com, IBCbet.com), so it is harder to find value bets there. Only top 5% of bettors are able to win money there in long-term. But it is possible - just watch this blog.

So, if I am not on your »mailing list«, I can follow your picks, but I will win less money, because odds have dropped at Asian bookmakers?
Exactly, that's the problem. That's why I am offering the service. You got it ;)

Alright, I am convinced. What do I have to do to access your service?
All you have to do is to write a mail to the-possmann@gmx.de . Because having a mailing list with analyses and personal support (tips, tricks, hints, conversation, additional information and so on) is more effort, I have to charge a little, very little amount for that service.

And here is in detail:
→ Contact: the-possmann@gmx.de
→ Price: 50€ for one month
→ 125€ for three months (instead of 150€ - discount: 17%)
→ 225€ for six months (instead of 300€ - discount: 25%)
→ Payment methods: Paysafecard, Moneybookers, NETeller
→ Picks by mail and by SMS (optional)
→ Asian bookmakers only
→ Bettingadvice approved
→ Blogabet premium tipster
→ I do not send bets with a low limit. Every odds I play can be played at Pinnacle and / or SBObet with at least 3,000 euros.
→ Win more money than up to now through my knowledge
→ 15 - 20 picks each month
→ Service recommended to bettors who bet at least 50€ on a match. This should be the vast majority of serious bettors.

If you have further questions or need additional information just write a mail to the-possmann@gmx.de.

Have fun reading my blog and winning money by beating Asian bookmakers.

PS: I have never written into another blog's shoutbox and I will never do so ;) Needless to say that I have no other blogs and I run no other services, of course. 100% concentration on this blog as these are nothing more or less than my personal bets.






Sunday, May 06th, 2012 06:30
Football - Ger. Bundesliga II
Pick:  1860 Munich   Result: 1-2
Stake:  5/10   Odds:  2.04  Verified odd Bookmaker:  PINNACLE   vCash: Yes
Posted: May 06, 2012, 04:16




Match: 1860 Munich - Alemannia Aachen
Pick: 1860 -0.5
Odds: 2.04
Bookmaker: Pinnaclesports
Stake: 5

On a normal matchday this would not be more than a 1.5 when the sixth placed 1860 is meeting the second worst team of the league at home. 1860 is one of the best home teams and if they would not have lost against FSV Frankfurt and Hansa Rostock (twice) they would have had a chance to be promoted in this league. Of course, for 1860 the season is over but last week they played very strong against Frankfurt and they want a good season ending at home for their fans. Aachen won last week at home against Karlsruhe but it was a weak match with two weak teams and no one of both can compete with 1860 in my opinion. There are still Radjabali-Fardi, Yabo and Falkenberg missing for Aachen while Streit is coming back from fifth yellow card. No missings for 1860. All in all 1860 is too strong at home that a team like Aachen with a 1-7-8 away balance and a last away win from midth of November.






Saturday, May 05th, 2012 08:30
Football - Ger. Bundesliga I
Pick:  B.Leverkusen (+0)   Result: 1-4
Stake:  4/10   Odds:  2.17  Verified odd Bookmaker:  Bet365   vCash: Yes
Posted: May 05, 2012, 07:37




Match: Nurnberg - Leverkusen
Pick: Leverkusen +0
Odds: 2.19
Bookmaker: SBObet
Stake: 4

Picking Leverkusen here. Reason is that the team shows better displays since they have sacked manager Dutt. The team got 3 wins out of the last 4 matches and they have not lost a single match with their new coaches (they have two now). Especially Kießling is in a very good mood. On the other hand we have Nurnberg who are of course also a good team not having lost a single match out of the last 5 matches, too. But current impressions especially of their last home match against Hamburg tell me, that an away win of Leverkusen is more probable here than a home win of Nurnberg. Leverkusen is very stabil in the defense and they have some effective strikers in the offense, who can hopefully make the difference today. Motivation is on both sides as Leverkusen plays for position 5 (one qualifying round less compared to position 6) and Nurnberg could theoretically enter Europe League, but they could also fall back to position 13. As coach Hecking said that he probably will give some players like Judt who will leave the club a good ending, this could possibly be an extra reason for Leverkusen, too.






Saturday, May 05th, 2012 08:30
Football - Ger. Bundesliga I
Pick:  Hoffenheim (+0.5)   Result: 3-1
Stake:  7/10   Odds:  1.93  Verified odd Bookmaker:  Bet365   vCash: Yes
Posted: May 04, 2012, 07:17




Match: Hertha BSC – 1899 Hoffenheim


Pick: Hoffenheim +0.5


Odds: 1.94


Bookmaker: SBObet


Stake: 7


 


The reason for picking Hoffenheim here is that I believe that they will do their best here. Hoffenheim has no chances for getting into Europe League while Hertha is playing against relegation. Nevertheless, this is also the duel of Hoffenheim’s coach Babbel against his ex-club and they split up in anger last December. “We offer no support”, Babbel said. “They get what they deserve.” Hertha won just 3 home matches this season and they play even worse than Kaiserslautern at the moment. I can not imagine Hertha winning against any team at the moment. Furthermore, three players were no training until Wednesday due to injury (i.a. goalkeeper Kraft). They still have some injured players who will be missing (Neumann, Morales, Mijatovic and other) and Torun, who has been banned. The situation is critical and with Hoffenheim playing with nearly best squad tomorrow, I can not imagine a Hertha win here.








Schedule 33rd matchday
Friday, April 27th, 2012 08:13


Hi,
as usual I tell you before the matchday when I plan to publish my picks, which I have already taken in private and with my customers. All picks are published at the latest time before kickoff, but normally with far worse odds than I played them.

I will publish them with new post function before kickoff, so that you can follow this blog on and on. I only safe my played odds as the odds drops were quite big during the last time. Keep following me :)


- Two bets are published saturday at 15:30.


- Three bets are published sunday at 13:30.



Best regards,


Chris






Sunday, April 29th, 2012 06:30
Football - Ger. Bundesliga II
Pick:  Braunshweig (+0.25)   Result: 2-0
Stake:  4/10   Odds:  2.09  Verified odd Bookmaker:  PINNACLE   vCash: Yes
Posted: Apr 27, 2012, 08:11




Match: VfL Bochum – Eintracht Braunschweig


Pick: Braunschweig +0.25


Odds: 2.17


Bookmaker: SBObet


Stake: 4


 


I see this match more balanced than the market does. Braunschweig got 8 points more during the season and they are tactically and concerning their tactical ability a level over Bochum. Bochum disappointed their home crowd in nearly every match and I see no reason why this should change in this one. Of course, we have a little motivation problem here. Bochum fights for not being relegated while Braunschweig is safe in midfield but at first Braunschweig has some incentives to get some points here as they want to secure their 8th place. Second, having relegation problems always means some tenseness which could weaken the performance. All in all I see Braunschweig normally much better than Bochum and home advantage does not justify these odds.








Duisburg - Aue    +6.3
Sunday, April 29th, 2012 06:30
Football - Ger. Bundesliga II
Pick:  Duisburg (-0.5)   Result: 2-1
Stake:  6/10   Odds:  2.05  Verified odd Bookmaker:  PINNACLE   vCash: Yes
Posted: Apr 27, 2012, 08:10




Match: Duisburg – Erzgebirge Aue


Pick: Duisburg -0.5


Odds: 2.05


Bookmaker: Pinnacle and SBObet


Stake: 6


 


Aue is for me at the moment the weakest team. Their performance at Frankfurt was incredibly awful and if Frankfurt would have needed goals they would have possibly won this match by 6-0 or higher. Last week, they tied Dresden by 1-1 due to an early lead. All in all, the match was very weak from both sides. Aue’s balance in the last 8 away matches is 1-1-6 with 4:19. On the other side we have Duisburg, who have finally found to themselves and who need a point to not being relegated. Nevertheless, I think that they want the win here (with a draw it is not 100% sure). Duisburg had very good home matches at last with 3 wins out of the last three home matches and a 4-1-1 balance out o the last 6 matches overall. Pamic is out due to fifth yellow card but as Pliatsikas and Sukalo are coming back this is actually not problem at all. Great pick in my opinion.






Sunday, April 29th, 2012 06:30
Football - Ger. Bundesliga II
Pick:  Union Berlin   Result: 5-4
Stake:  5/10   Odds:  2.15  Verified odd Bookmaker:  Bet365   vCash: Yes
Posted: Apr 27, 2012, 08:09




Match: Union Berlin – Hansa Rostock


Pick: Union -0.5


Odds: 2.14


Bookmaker: Pinnacle


Stake: 5


 


I think that these are good odds. Two weeks ago Union beat Eintracht Braunschweig at home and Braunschweig is far better than Rostock. After a short winning streak of Rostock their last two matches were really bad and therefore they are nearly relegated because their last two opponents are very strong. Rostock is so weak in the defense and against a good team like Union this can really be a problem. In the last match Union played very strong at Dusseldorf and had chances to get some points out of there. I hope that they will get their points back in this match. With a win they could secure their 7th place in the league and have a good ending of the season with their fans, which would be a great success for the team. At their homeground they have a very good balance and I think that motivation will again be no factor as they are always motivated at home. Furthermore, they have no pressure and can have fun playing soccer and this is a big contrast to Rostock. All in all a 2.14 is too high comparing a strong and motivated home team against a weak team like Rostock, who could get relegated this week.






Freiburg - Koln    +5.4
Saturday, April 28th, 2012 08:30
Football - Ger. Bundesliga I
Pick:  Freiburg   Result: 4-1
Stake:  4/10   Odds:  2.35  Verified odd Bookmaker:  Sportingbet   vCash: Yes
Posted: Apr 26, 2012, 11:18




Match: SC Freiburg - 1. FC Koln
Pick: SC Freiburg
Odds: 2.31
Bookmaker: Pinnacle
Stake: 4

I am convinced that motivation will be no factor here aswell. Of course, Freiburg is already safe while Cologne is in relegation danger, but Freiburg's coach Streich is one of the fairest coaches of the league. For him, a lax attitude is no opportunity in this match. He will push his team as he has done in every match since he is coach. In those 7 matches Freiburg has a 3-4-0 balance and they have not lost the last 9 matches. So they will be hot to show the crowd what they can play and to enjoy that they do not have any doubts anymore. Cologne in contrast showed a last good match, but nevertheless they have lost the last 4 away matches with a goal difference of 2:13. They are the weakest away team of the league (3-2-11). Their problem in this match: Freiburg has a very solid defense (just look at the 0-0 at Hannover last week), which Cologne has not. So I can imagine Cologne pushing as they have to push, but losing this one due to some horrendous lacks in the defense. For Freiburg, some players could be coming back compared to last match (Flum,Mujdza), but it is not sure. Anyway, I see a match in which everything is possible but with a look to Cologne's last away performances, this is good odds, I think.






Schalke - Hertha    +7.14
Saturday, April 28th, 2012 08:30
Football - Ger. Bundesliga I
Pick:  Schalke (-1.25)   Result: 4-0
Stake:  7/10   Odds:  2.02  Verified odd Bookmaker:  Bet365   vCash: No
Posted: Apr 26, 2012, 11:17




Match: Schalke 04 - Hertha BSC
Pick: Schalke -1.25
Odds: 2.05
Bookmaker: SBObet
Stake: 7

For me, this is a clear one here. We have Schalke, 12-1-3 at home, against Hertha Berlin, 3-7-6 away (which is good compared to their home balance). But let's have a deeper look. Hertha is in big relegation danger. Actually, if they lose this one, they are nearly relegated. So of course they have a big motivation. But at first Schalke has a big motivation, too, as they have to defend third place against Monchengladbach. Second, Hertha had a lot of motivation in their last match, too, and they played awful losing 1-2 at home against the last team of the league, Kaiserslautern. So motivation is no factor. Home advantage is of course huge at Schalke and especially in this one Raul will play his last home match for Schalke. I think that they have every reason to get a huge and dominating victory here. Furthermore, Niemeyer, a midfield player of Berlin who had to play in the defense in the last match due to their huge injury problems, is out with a red card as well as Levan Kobiashvili. Hubnik, Janker, Morales, and Neumann are questionable, I suppose that most of them will play. Nevertheless, they are not at their best and Hertha has big injury troubles in every case. So we have a very strong home team fighting for Champions League with Raul in his last match against a relegation candidate without a lot of players who made one of their worst impressions in the last match. I think that -1.25 is great here.






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Chris Possmann Germany
 
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Premium tipster!
Est. 09.2010

Odds verification provided in cooperation with OddsOddsOdds.com 282 verified odds
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Win-Loss-Void: 160-142-11 
Win rate: 53% 
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